Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.004580 0.005075 0.005587 0.006157 0.006773 0.007416 0.008139
2025-01-12 0.003705 0.004394 0.005147 0.006026 0.007020 0.008107 0.009380
2025-01-19 0.003210 0.004004 0.004904 0.005992 0.007264 0.008696 0.010422
2025-01-26 0.002808 0.003660 0.004657 0.005900 0.007394 0.009118 0.011245
2025-02-02 0.002521 0.003418 0.004500 0.005882 0.007583 0.009588 0.012109
2025-02-09 0.002277 0.003202 0.004348 0.005848 0.007733 0.009998 0.012897
2025-02-16 0.002144 0.003114 0.004343 0.005985 0.008087 0.010654 0.013984
2025-02-23 0.001939 0.002914 0.004179 0.005905 0.008156 0.010948 0.014625
2025-03-02 0.001795 0.002782 0.004093 0.005915 0.008332 0.011373 0.015429
2025-03-09 0.001737 0.002765 0.004156 0.006119 0.008760 0.012121 0.016652
2025-03-16 0.001639 0.002683 0.004122 0.006189 0.009007 0.012638 0.017585
2025-03-23 0.001569 0.002634 0.004131 0.006313 0.009327 0.013253 0.018651
2025-03-30 0.001508 0.002599 0.004160 0.006469 0.009700 0.013954 0.019858
2025-04-06 0.001360 0.002423 0.003978 0.006322 0.009652 0.014095 0.020331
2025-04-13 0.001259 0.002310 0.003880 0.006287 0.009754 0.014433 0.021067
2025-04-20 0.001150 0.002178 0.003747 0.006192 0.009765 0.014644 0.021630
2025-04-27 0.001071 0.002087 0.003668 0.006172 0.009880 0.014995 0.022385
2025-05-04 0.000994 0.001994 0.003583 0.006137 0.009967 0.015307 0.023088
2025-05-11 0.000963 0.001978 0.003615 0.006280 0.010316 0.015987 0.024309
2025-05-18 0.000885 0.001875 0.003504 0.006197 0.010327 0.016190 0.024867
2025-05-25 0.000833 0.001813 0.003455 0.006207 0.010475 0.016588 0.025703
2025-06-01 0.000824 0.001828 0.003533 0.006419 0.010931 0.017433 0.027178
2025-06-08 0.000788 0.001793 0.003524 0.006491 0.011173 0.017973 0.028229